How to predict gold price

Essentials of business astrological course «How to predict gold prices»

   The major goal of this course is to be rich or become one and follow stars creating size! Some other purposes denied! So, my predictions came true about 11 september, tsunami in Indian ocean in 2004, shattle Columbia disaster in 2003, record high price of oil and others you can read on my personal web site www.tigrovo.com    Moreover I became number one in competition among forex and CFD traders in Ukraine in august 2008
http://kf-forex.com.ua/240/886.html
and gained 200 000 dol. starting 10 000 dol. account without losses, you can see the report
here
   So, if you want to compete on trading efficiently, you can study the 40 lessons course made by astrologer and forex and CFD trader Constantine Semenov . It’s important to know that steadiness is more likely in business than enormous profit in high risky game. According to the forex club report statistics every second deal in forex trading unsuccsesful. All traders who never use astrology predictions lost in case of gain money because they do not know the basic principles of trade using astro methods!    All aspects of planets are temporaire, its last some periods and make some effect on gold market. Some kind of aspects are worthless, its make no effects on gold price moving at all, but another are very important and make the trend on their moving Zodiac. Analysing prices of gold it’s necessary to know that basic trend has three active historical charts which depend on different astrological aspects and planets. Three trends describe the historical perspective of gold price changing - macrotrend, miditrend and minitrend. That means in every period in history different kinds of group of the planets influencing the price. Macrotrend describes the long period perspective of gold price trend - centuries and and even more. Miditrend describes the perspective of less than several years. Minitrend describes the perspective period lasting from a day to a one month! Macrotrend    The most important trend is macrotrend. Because it makes the basis of gold price level. In early 15 century gold costed more then $2500( in 1998 year dollar) and 1970th it costed a little more then $ 100! You see the difference in real gold price level? First of all it depends on constilation of major giant planets Uranus, Neptunus, Pluto! Its interactions create the harmony of financial sphere and if there are no good aspects between them, prices move down and viceversa in case of good aspects – conjunctions or trigons prices rise! Why these planets? Because of Pluto is the major creator of gold energy! Pluto is the God of underworld and gold as all another treasure is under his power! That’s why all aspects to Pluto from Neptune and Uran support it energy to grow or fall the value! Look a history examles for better view!    Gold was in use as a form of money, in one form or another, at least from about 560 BC until the end of the Bretton Woods system in 1971. It was used as a store of value both by individuals and countries for much of that period. The Persian Empire collected taxes in gold, and when it was conquered by Alexander the Great, this gold became the basis for the gold coinage of Alexander's empire. The paying of mercenaries and armies in gold solidified its importance: gold became synonymous with paying for military operations, as mentioned by Niccolo Machiavelli in The Prince 2,000 years later. The Roman Empire minted two important gold coins: the aureus, which was approximately 7 grams of gold alloyed with silvers, and the smaller solidus, which weighed 4.4 grams, of which 4.2 was gold. The Roman mints were fantastically active — the Romans minted and circulated millions of coins during the course of the Republic and the Empire. After the collapse of the Western Roman Empire and the exhaustion of the gold mines in Europe, the Byzantine empire minted successor coins to the solidus called the nomisma or bezant. These were of the same weight and high purity as their Western Empire counterparts and still are considered to be solidi. Unfortunately, the Byzantine empire gradually degraded the purity of the coin from about the 1030s until, by the turn of the 11th century, the coinage in circulation was only 15% gold by weight. This represented a tremendous drop in real value from the old 95% to 98% gold Roman coins. These events are the basis of gold system of ancient world lets analyse it using planet constilations! The basis of horoscope of gold as store of value is about 560 B.C. when gold was used as money first time! This period three major planets Uranus, Neptunus, Pluto were in conjunction.

Alexander the Great

The major conquering resulted the biggest concentration of gold in one hand in ancient world 324 B.C. only year before Alexander’s the Great death! That means the new transformation of gold power and gold reserve in the world. It was the first cycle of Pluto in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. under which all Alexander’s the Great missions were made! Pluto, Uranus, Saturn, Jupiter were in conjunction and opposed the Neptunus after Alexander’s the Great death! That’s why his Empire was divided on tree part and later lost its previous power.

Roman Empire

  Next conjunction of tree giant planets Uranus, Neptunus, Pluto was in second half of first century B.C. while they finished the next cycle in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. it was the rise of Roman Empire in 70 – 50 B.C. as the centre of the bigest gold reserve holder in all Ancient world.

  The period of the "Five Good Emperors" was brought to an end by the reign of Commodus from 180 to 192 when Pluto was in conjunction with Uranus and in opposition with Neptunus. First impact to the The Pax Romana, or "Roman Peace", ended with the reign of Commodus One could argue that the assassination attempt began the long decline of the Roman Empire and the begining of end. The Crisis of the 3rd Century is a commonly applied name for the crumbling and near collapse of the Roman Empire between 235 and 284. It is also called the period of the "military anarchy." This period Pluto was in Scorpio in opposition to Pluto in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. and in opposition to Uranus! Internally the empire faced runaway hyperinflation caused by years of coinage devaluation. This had started earlier under the Severan emperors who enlarged the army by one quarter and doubled the base pay. As each of the short-lived emperors took power they needed ways to raise money quickly to pay the military's "accession bonus" and the easiest way to do so was by simply cutting the silver in coins with less valuable metals. This had the predictable effect of causing runaway inflation and by the time Diocletian came to power the old coinage of the Roman Empire had nearly collapsed. Some taxes were collected in kind and values were often notational in billion bronze coinage. Real values continued to be figured in gold coinage, but the almost solid silver coin, the denarius, used for 300 years was gone (1 pound of gold = 40 gold aurei = 1000 denarii = 4000 sestertii). The currency had almost no value and trade was by barter. Every aspect of the Roman way of life was affected. Thus when we read that King Auletes of Egypt paid Julius Caesar the sum of 6,000 talents of gold to grant him the status of a "Friend and Ally of the Roman People," the amount paid, in modern equivalence, was about $5 billion USD. However, these estimates, based on modern values, are only rough values.

  Fall of the Western Roman Empire was from 395 till 476. The end of Roman Empire was when Pluto and Neptunus finished their next cycle in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. It lasted for a long time. It was the birth of new money system when gold reserves were lost when barbarians and other nothern tribes buried Roman Empire! Empire permanently split into Eastern and Western halves, following the death of Theodosius I in 395. It became new owner of gold reserves. Later in Roman history, during the medieval Byzantine period, the emperor Basil II was said to have stockpiled the legendary amount of 200,000 talents of gold, which in modern terms would be worth approximately $100 billion USD. At any rate, he did save enough money that the Byzantine government was able to remit all taxes paid during the final two years of his reign! The end of Byzantine Empire was in 1453 when Ottoman Turks conquered Constantinople. Death of Constantine XI last Emperor of the Byzantine Empire and end of the Byzantine Empire. It was in period when Pluto and Neptunus were in conjunction finished their next cycle in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. and in opposition with Uranus in the end of 14th century and in the begining of 15th century!

Christopher Columbus discovery of America

  When Pluto and Neptune again were in conjunction concluded their cycle in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. in 1385 gold price begins to grow from $1200 ( in 1998 year dollar) doubled in value and peaked $ 2400 in the end of 1490th ! When Christopher Columbus descovered New India and flood of cheap gold followed to Europe price began slowly plunge because Pluto was in Scorpio in opposition to the conjunction of Pluto and Neptune in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. ! The gold prices droped significantly in 1560th when Neptune and Uranus were in opposition and Pluto was to them in 90 degree aspect. In ten years price droped from $1570 to $700! Later during the next two centuries gold price slow plunge in 1640 absolute minimum drop for the five centuries! It was caused by opposition Pluto to Neptune and Uranus and price was less than $250 in late 18 century during the French Revolution! It all also was caused by opposition of Pluto and Uranus! 1853- 1890 conjunction of Pluto and Uran and later Pluto and Neptune during the period of their cycle in horoscope of gold money 560 B.C. finished, price rose from $ 250 to $630. 1899 – 1919 the period of very dramatic decline in history. After new gold discoveries in Yukon and South Africa price began to drop. There was marked the lowest price of gold in 1919 $20.70 ($196 in 1998 dollar) in history droped from $630 level in 1899! It was caused by opposition of Uran to Pluto and Neptune!

  Creation of the United States of America was under the trin of these three giant planets – aspect of steadiness! As the result the United States has the biggest gold reserve in the world and it is the richest country!

   Anyway for the better view you need to see the more particular trend in shorter period of time, that’s why we need to analyse miditrend

Miditrend - what creats value

  Pluto, Jupiter, Saturn - big three, totaly control the moving prices in long distance period in several years! The most probable creating of miditrend prediction depends on this factor of interaction of these three major planets. Bad aspects (opposition, 90 degree aspect ) of these planets creats low prices and keep it on this level untill new positive aspects start the price growth. 1975-1976 these planets were in bad aspect - Pluto and Jupiter were in opposition and Saturn was in 90 degree aspect to them from Cancer. The price dropped to the lowest level of all time about $105 per/oz. 2000 – 2001 Jupiter and Saturn were in conjunction in Gemini and in opposition to Pluto the gold price took almost all time record low of $260 per/oz. From another hand the positive aspects make price high – trigons and conjunctions of these three planet top the gold price. The most dramatic rise was in 1979- 1980 when these three planets were in conjunction in Virgo and Libra. Gold price hited the record high of $850 per/oz. The next dramatic growth occured in 2005 -2008 when gold price peaked the same top price level in 2007 – 2008, Pluto and Jupiter was in conjunction and in trigon to Saturn!

Minitrend

   Predictions in minitrend is the most important and the most diffecult process. It caused by huge number of different aspects of planet and their constilations in the short period of time. Almost all of planets influence the price moving in short termine of trading gold! That is why I show several of most active factors which affect the price during one trade session.

Destructive factors in minitrend

Full moon.

  According to my survey, it’s one of the strongest astrological factors which drive gold prices ultematly down! Almost every full moon prices droped significantly during the last three years! I examined more than 50 periods of full moon and made the decision that not only suicides and criminals occured this period more frequently than in another fase of moon! 50 falling downs of gold price had only 4 days of rise of the price! And I’m sure that 4 days had dominance of strong positive influencing.

Moon in Pisces

  Constilation the moon in Pisces since 2006 creats the strongest falling trend for gold price. Statistic says that almost every transit of moon through the Pisces sign pushed prices on gold market down! The plunge one day maximum fall of price is aproximatly 12 – 17 dollars range. Why does it happen? You can get know when read the full virsion of course, but this factor makes negative tendency on gold market.

Ingress of Mars

  Next one the strongest factor that makes figures off the price, is ingress of Mars. When planet mars moving through the zodiac signs borders it creates huge destroying element of negative energies and conduct prices down in its one day falling maximum. Recent examples, august 2007 ingress of mars to gemeny sign drove price down from $ 673 per/oz. to $ 660 per/oz. Of cause it happens not every Mars ingress but it is really steady factor that must never be ignored in professionals predictions. It depends from constilation of other planets what makes the falling down weaker in case of positive factors dominance or stronger in case of positive factors dominance weakness! Move back to the previous example of august 2007 Mars ingress. While the moon was in trigon aspect with Neptune and Chiron the day before 7th of august 2007 the falling price occured only when moon left the trigon aspect with Neptune and Chiron and negative dominance of mars in opposition with Jupiter became stronger in august 8th. So, as the result prices dropped that day!

  Also the most notable ingresses of planet mars influencing the price of gold were in next periods:

  1997 june ingress of mars to Libra - falling from $340 to $320 per/oz.

  1997 october ingress of mars to Sagittarios created long period trend for december from $337 to $283 per/oz.

  1998 august falling from $287 to $273 per/oz. in the same month. Ingress of mars to Leo.

  1999 may falling from $ 285 to $250 per/oz. in july. It created long period trend for july. Ingress of mars to Libra.

  1999 october falling from $ 325 to $290 per/oz. in the same month. Ingress of mars to Sagittarios.

  2000 february falling from $ 310 to $ 270 per/oz. long period falling till may. Ingress of mars to Aries.

  2001 may falling from $ 290 to $265 per/oz. in the same month Factors of growth will not be mentioned in this article.

Conflict of tendencies

  The most basic line in prediction and analysing gold prices is correct ability to see the main dominance influencing of planets creating the current trend of gold price! Which aspect is stronger or what constilation of planet is more dominant! If you make the wright decision you win if not you loose! Conflict of planet aspects makes two different tendencies on market in the same trade session when you see following each other ups and downs of price moving! It caused by two different major configuration of aspects oppositions and trigons by the same time. For example, one of the most dramatical ups and downs for the last months were at day 28th of november 2007, when price droped sharply from $808 per/oz. to $792 per/oz. in the morning of 28th of november 2007. After 10 a.m. GMT London market opened the price started moving up and later in New York price toped day record $809 per/oz. climbing from day low $792 per/oz. The day range was more than $16 or 2% of the price – too much for one day range! What was the reason of this dramatic jumps? First of all the plunge was generated by opposition of Uranus and Saturn, and position of the Sun was in 90 degree aspect to them. Both planets were in reverse moving – Saturn begins to move retrograde and Uranus stoping moving retrograde and start moving direct, it’s very important in process of prediction. The positive aspect – trin of mercury in Scorpio, moon and Mars in Cancer and Uranus in Pisces created moving up what soon returned the price to the start droping level of $808 per/oz. in the morning of 28th of november. All aspects were major but equal that is why the price moved back to the start point of $809 per/oz. where it was in the morning of 28th of november! In case if the strength of aspects not equal, the price following the trend, conducted by stronger aspect. On other hand the only major configuration dominance trin or opposition makes strong one direction moving. It is important to know how to read the mind of market.

Methods and tactic

  How to trade without losses using astrological predictions?

 it’s seems to be easy for the first sight but in real game it’s really hard even you’re totally sure your predictions! You loose control and nervous tension forces you to hesitate and doubt your way of thinking when you must make a bet! That’s why there are two different aspects of behaviour. One way is to be good analyst who try to foresee the future situation on another is well trained player who is ready to act and act immediately! Some really good methods allows to predict geniusly without any mistakes, but wrong doing in trader’s behavior creates losses and crash. It obviosly depends on wrong tactics of trade. So, wright tactics save the situation and make work profitable. Trend change is the most dangerous moment in predictions and making decisions according to this one! If you know that soon must be falling down of the price but the most indefinite moment when it starts and finish! Example, Moon in Pisces, Monday, 17 december 2007 previous gold price peak in Hong Kong was more then $800 per/oz. but later when London market opened, price droped below $785 per/oz . according to prediction that Moon in Pisces decline the price is wright, second half of day December 17 after moon ingressing from Pisces to Aries rised the price from $785 per/oz to more than $796 per/oz at end of day December 17! What seems to be a problem? Monday , first trading day after the maket was closed in Saturday and Sunday, London and New York markets start trade in the second half of the day, when moon moves closer to the Aries sign border and begins to ingress. You as astrologer know well that Moon in Pisces ultematly drop the price. But on another hand you know that moon leaves the Pisces in afternoon and coming to the Aries Moon rise the price. What to do? You must wait the end of one trend and start trade in the begining of another! That’s right if you have a number of good tactics you always win despite any sudden changes in the market!

Factors influencing the gold price

  Today, like all investments and commodities, the price of gold is ultimately driven by supply and demand, including hoarding and dis-hoarding. Unlike most other commodities, the hoarding and dis-hoarding plays a much bigger role in affecting the price, since almost all the gold ever mined still exists and is potentially able to come on to the market at the right price. Given the huge quantity of above ground hoarded gold, compared to the annual production, the price of gold is mainly affected by changes in sentiment, rather than changes in annual production or gold jewelry demand. Central banks and the International Monetary Fund play an important role in the gold price. At the end of 2004 central banks and official organisations held 19 percent of all above ground gold as official gold reserves. The Washington Agreement on Gold (WAG) which dates from September 1999, limits gold sales by its members (Europe, United States, Japan, Australia, Bank for International Settlements and the International Monetary Fund) to less than 400 tonnes a year. European central banks, such as the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank, have been key sellers of gold over this period. In November 2005, Russia, Argentina and South Africa expressed interest in increasing their gold holdings. Other than Russia, these are not viewed as significant central banks, but any move by Japan, China or South Korea to do the same would be seen as significant. Currently the United States Federal Reserve has 16% of its assets in gold, whereas China holds approximately 1% in gold. Although central banks do not generally announce gold purchases in advance, some such as Russia have expressed interest in growing their gold reserves again as of late 2005. In early 2006, China, who only holds 1.3% of its reserves in gold, announced that it was looking for ways to improve the returns on its official reserves. Many bulls took this as a thinly veiled signal that gold would play a larger role in China's reserves, which they hope will push up the price of gold.

  Inflation fears have also been influential in the past. The October 2005 consumer price index level of 199.2 (1982-84=100) was 4.3 percent higher than in October 2004. During the first ten months of 2005, the CPI-U rose at a 4.9 percent seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). This compares with an increase of 3.3 percent for all of 2004.

Sentiment

 It used to be said that "Gold is the world's frightened bunny". Whenever crisis threatened, the demand for physical gold increased.

Bank failures

  When dollars were fully convertible into gold, both were regarded as money. However, most people preferred to carry around paper banknotes rather than the somewhat heavier and less divisible gold coins. If people feared their bank would fail, a bank run might have been the result. This is what happened in the USA during the Great Depression of the 1930s, leading President Roosevelt to impose a national emergency and to outlaw the holding of gold by US citizens.

Inflation

  Paper currencies pose a risk of being inflated, possibly to the point of hyperinflation. Historically, currencies have lost their value in this way over time. In times of inflation, people seek to protect their savings by purchasing liquid, tangible assets that are valued for some other purpose. Gold is in this respect a good candidate, since producing more is far more difficult than issuing new fiat currency, and its value does not rely on any particular government's health.

Low or negative real interest rates

  Gold has a long history of being an inflation proof investment. During times of low or negative real interest rates when significant inflation is present and interest rates are relatively low investors seek the safe haven of gold to protect their capital. A prime example of this is the period of Stagflation that occurred during the 1970s and which led to an economic bubble forming in precious metals.

War, invasion, looting, crisis

  In times of national crisis, people fear that their assets may be seized, and the currency may become worthless. They see gold as a solid asset which will always buy bread or transportation. Thus in times of great uncertainty, particularly when war is feared, the demand for gold rises.

Production

  According to the World Gold Council, annual gold production over the last few years has been close to 2,500 tonnes. However, the effects of official gold sales (500 tonnes), scrap sales (850 tonnes), and producer hedging activities take the annual gold supply to around 3,500 tonnes.

Demand

  About 3,000 tonnes goes into jewelry or industrial/dental production, and around 500 tonnes goes to retail investors and exchange traded gold funds.

Supply and Demand

  Some investors consider that supply and demand factors are less relevant than with other commodities since most of the gold ever mined is still above ground and available for sale at a price. However, supply and demand do play a role. According to the World Gold Council, gold demand rose 29% in the first half of 2005. The increase came mainly from the launch of a gold exchange-traded fund, but also from jewelry. Gold demand was at an all time record. Demand from the electronics industry is rising by 11% a year, jewelry by 19%, and industrial and dental by 21%.

Why gold?

  Due to its rarity, durability, and the general ease of identification through its unique color, weight, ductility and acoustic properties, gold is a commodity that merchants and traders came to select as a common unit of account - thus it has long been used as a form of money and store of wealth.

A large variety of commodities have been used for money, including such unlikely candidates as cowrie shells and tobacco leaves. The desirable properties for a material to choose as a basis for money are (in no particular order):

  - 1. Identifiability

  - 2. Durability

  - 3. Stability of quantity

  - 4. Freedom from intrinsic price fluctuations

  Gold meets all of these criteria, and is arguably the only material in the world that does. The quantity of gold available to the human race has not varied significantly in centuries, and the addition from mining activities is small and predictable. The majority of the stock is used in its "function" as a store of value. The only other market demands are for electronics, dentistry and jewelry. The use in jewelry and other artifacts is arguably as much for its significance as a store of value as for its decorative properties. The other two usages are tiny in proportion to the quantity stored as bullion, and the demand for dental purposes is declining as preferences change to more natural-looking alternatives. Any other commodity would introduce distortions in the value of money in response to changes in the balance between its own supply and demand. The exact nature of the evolution of money varies significantly across time and place, though it is believed by historians that gold's high value for its beauty, density, resistance to corrosion, uniformity, and easy divisibility made it useful both as a store of value and as a unit of account for stored value of other kinds — in Babylon, a bushel of wheat was the unit of account, with a weight in gold used as the token to transport value. Early monetary systems based on grain used gold to represent the stored value. Banking began when gold deposited in a bank could be transferred from one account to another by a giro system, or lent at interest. Its high density means that attempts to extend it by alloying with other metals are easily detected (as is noted in the famous story of Archimedes and the King of Syracuse. Few metals are more dense. Of the more easily obtainable ones, only osmium (22.6), iridium (22.4), platinum (21.45), rhenium (21.0) and tungsten (19.35) are denser than gold (19.32). All except tungsten are priced nearly as much as gold or far higher. An alloy of gold and tungsten would be difficult and impractical to create. When used as part of a commodity money system, the function of paper currency is to reduce the danger of transporting gold, reduce the possibility of debasement of coins, and avoid the reduction in circulating medium to hoarding and losses. The early development of paper money was spurred originally by the unreliability of transportation and the dangers of long voyages, as well as by the desire of governments to control or regulate the flow of commerce within their dominion. Money backed by a specie sometimes is called representative money, and the notes issued often are called certificates, to differentiate them from other forms of paper money. Through most of human history, however, silver was the primary circulating medium and major monetary metal. Gold was used as an ultimate store of value, and as means of payment when portability was at a premium, particularly for payment of armies. Gold would supplant silver as the basic unit of international trade at various times, including the Islamic Golden Age, the peak of the Italian trading states during the Renaissance, and most prominently during the 19th century. Gold would remain the metal of monetary reserve accounting until the collapse of the Bretton Woods agreement in 1971, and it remains an important hedge against the actions of central banks and governments, a means of maintaining general liquidity, and as a store of value. The total amount of gold that has ever been mined is surprisingly small - about 125,000 tonnes. If all of it were stacked up in one place, it could be fitted into a small basketball hall (the stack would be about 18m x 36m x 9m). At current gold price of around $640 per Troy ounce, or around $20,000 per kilogram, the value of this entire planetary stock would be $2.5 trillion, which is less than the value of currency circulating (including bank current account balances) in the US alone. Thus any proposed gold standard would necessarily operate on a fractional reserve basis.

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